DO REPUBLICANS STAND TO LOSE BOTH HOUSES IN THE MID TERM ELECTIONS

                         (2025 Official portrait of Preident Trump)

If polls can be relied upon (those have often been wrong before) Republicans are definitely losing  majority in the House of Representatives with a 25 seat to the Democrats who could end with 240 seats  compared to 195 for  Republicans. This means the house can easily impeach President Trump where a simple majority is required. However there is no real danger of impeachment as 2/3rd majority is required in the Senate.

The current composition of Senate is 53 Republicans and 47 Democrats. According to Real Clear Politics poll, chances are Democrats will end up with 51 and Republicans 49 seats. A thin majority indeed. So even if the House impeached the President, Democrats do not have 67 votes in the Senate to see the impeachment through. This can only happen if sufficient number of Republican Senators come to the conclusion that Trump is taking the country in the wrong direction causing Republicans to lose more seats in 2028. It will be a miracle though to convince 16 Republican Senators to vote with Democrats to see the impeachment through. It has happened in the past when a group of powerful Republican Senators told Richard Nixon to resign or they will vote with Democrats to impeach him. The most likely scenario is that Trump will be President for another two years.

The consquence of Republicans losing majorities in both chambers could be drastic. President Trump could really turn aggressive and restart Iran war with heavy bombing, which he has already threatened. The Iranians claim they now have Missiles which can reach Washington and New York. Both sides could just be bluffing to get the other side to come to negotiating table. The worse case scenario is that U.S. and Isreal bomb Iran heavily, in retaliation Iran fires misssiles in the direction of Washington DC and New York causing significant damage. An unhinged Trump could then use nuclear weapon(s) on Iran. That will be the doomsday scenario as radiation could spread far and wide killing hundreds of thousands of people, disrupting oil and gas supplies from the gulf, worse still destroying under sea internet and communication cables. So, let us hope both sides are just bluffing and will soon start a dialogue to end the war for good.

                                             THE UKRAIKE WAR

            IS EUROPE AN OBSTACLE TO PEACE?

                     (Picture courtesy NY Times)

President Trump & President Putin's 28 point Peace Plan is irking the Europeans no end. It seems they want the war to continue in the hope of humiliating Russia. Ukraine has been used by Europe as a scrificial lamb egging them on to fight Russia with European weapons but no European manpower. If Europe is so keen to defeat Russia, then why don't they send their soldiers to fight side by side with Ukranians and send their best fire power too. 

Ukraine has so far lost over one million soldiers and civilians and lost 22% of its territory. Their cities have been turned into ruins by perpetual Russian missile and drone attackes.Many neutral observers say Ukraine has already lost the war and if there is no peace there is a danger that Russia will occupy more Ukranian territory including its remaining port - Odesa, leaving the country landlocked and totally dependent on Russia.

The 28 point peace plan was crafted most probably by Russia and acquiesced by President Trump. This has now turned into a new 19 point plan after meetings between Ukranian and U.S. officials, but it is not certain that Russia will accept it. Russia's main conditions in the 28 point plan were: Russia will not return any of the occupied territory, Ukraine will reduce its armed forces strength to 600,000 and Ukraine will include in its constitution that it will never join NATO, some of the frozen Russian funds will be provided to Ukraine for rebuilding.

The Biden Administration and Europeans  pushed Ukraine into war by announcing Ukraine's inclusion in NATO, whereas they well knew that as per previous understanding Russia will never accept it, just as U.S. did not accept Soviet missiles in Cuba in the 1960s when both countries came close to a nuclear war.

This war must immediately end as there has been enormous loss of human life on both sides. No doubt it is unreasonable of Russia to want to keep all the occupied  territory. Crimea is a different matter and Russia will never return it to Ukraine as it was originally part of Russia but Nikita Kruschev (a Ukranian) then Prime Minister of Soviet Union gifted it to Ukraine. Ukraine must accept peace at this point rather than lose more territory and once things settle down it can by diplomacy try to get back the Eastern region, which Russia may ultimately not want to keep anyway. Better to be talking after ceasefire than fighting.

Europeans are still pushing Ukraine not to take the deal, a continued war will be a disaster for Ukraine and other states bordering Russia. It is better for Mr. Zelensky to save his country than continue the war.

 JOE BIDEN'S LEGACY

                Photo: Reuters

Joe Biden pardons his son Hunter Biden despite his alleged criminal activities. It is alleged that Hunter often traveled with his father on Air Force One on foreign trips to make deals, which creates suspicion that Joe Biden himself may have been involved in some of these deals. The pardon raises suspicion that it doesn't smell right.

Joe Biden's legacy is in tatters not just because of the pardon, but because of his conduct in the Ukraine war. He never even once made efforts to end the war, in fact, he inflamed the war resulting in massive loss of human life and injuries.

'The Economist magazine estimates 60,000 to 100,000 Ukrainians (not sure if just soldiers or civilian casualties included)  have lost their lives and nearly 400,000 have suffered injuries.

President Biden and his hawkish Democrats and the Establishment have sunk almost $175 billion of American taxpayers' money into this conflict when so many Americans could not pay their mortgages or have two square meals a day. This war is nothing but a bonanza for the defense industry, which appears to drive the U.S. Government.

The Gaza war and its disastrous consequences of loss of human life (mostly women and Children) and destruction of property is another failure of the Biden Administration. In fact, Biden is complicit and as criminally involved in the Gaza war as the Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu. Biden kept shipping lethal bombs to Israel throughout the conflict, which Israel used to drop on innocent Palestinians. The promise of a ceasefire was nothing but a hoax as no serious effort was made to achieve a ceasefire and you don't get a ceasefire when you keep shipping bombs to one side.

The U.S. economy has been at its worst during Biden's 4 years, high inflation, highest interest rates in over 40 years, mortgage defaults, high food costs etc. have made the lives of many million Americans miserable during his Presidency.

Biden's refusal to step down as a Presidential candidate in 2024 despite suspicions that his mental faculties may not all be intact has inflicted a massive blow to the Democratic party. His late withdrawal meant, no credible candidate could step forward in his place as the remaining time to the election was too short to run a successful campaign. Kamala Harris was a choice by default and was a poor candidate. Initially, she made some impact and even raised a lot of money but her lack of experience and clarity on issues was exposed each passing day resulting in Donald Trump's substantial victory and also the Republicans winning the Senate and House majorities.

In reality, Joe Biden has gifted all this to Trump. Had he stepped down six months earlier, some credible Democratic candidates could have stepped forward and the end result may have been different.

 DONALD J TRUMP IS THE 47TH PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

TRUMP MADE THE OBAMAS, THE CLINTONS & THE CHEYNES IRRELEVANT IN THIS ELECTION.

Picture courtesy Getty Images

President Trump has done it again and defeated not only Kamala Harris but also the American Establishment. They tried to indict him, and hold him on ridiculous and trumped-up charges, the Democratic Prosecutors and Judges showed complete partiality and made several attempts to keep him out of the race. Had it not been for the U.S. Supreme Court's intervention Trump's name may not have been on the ballot in many States.

Apart from winning the usual red (pro-Republican states), he also won almost all of the swing states, which Real Clear Politics had him ahead all along despite several polls showing Harris in the lead. At this time (2 AM EST) Trump's electoral college vote stands at 277 and once all the votes are counted he is likely to end around 300.

It was a sign of desperation when Kamala Harris and other Democrats started calling him a Nazi, a Hitler, a danger to democracy. Joe Biden even called Republican voters 'Trash', which may have re-energized the Republicans and brought them out who were otherwise not thinking of voting. Kamal Harris had a tough job, especially with the last four years of Biden-Harris regime where inflation rose to the highest levels, food prices rose substantially and mortgage rates rose so high that many Americans could not meet their mortgage payments. So, with that record Harris stood no chance. In addition, President Biden's dithering on Ghaza ceasefire and continuous supply of bombs to Israel to keep killing Ghazans (more than 47,000 dead so far, mostly women and children) disgusted many Americans Muslim & non-Muslim alike.

Another major shift that has taken place in American politics is that the usual stars like The Obamas, The Clintons, The Cheynes, and many more who held sway in American politics became irrelevant and redundant in this election. The American electorate did not listen to them nor followed their preaching. In view of this election result, it would be appropriate for all these pundits to vanish from the political scene and go work for their charities. I don't know if people will even buy their books anymore.

President Trump seems to have brought a Senate majority with him. There is also a chance of a clean sweep, as Republicans could retain a majority in the House of Representatives.

It is good to know that Trump has some smart people like Elon Musk and others with him, hopefully, they will help move the economy in a positive direction and quickly.

DONALD TRUMP PRESIDENT AGAIN? 

TRUMP NOW LEADING IN ALL SEVEN BATTLEGROUND STATES BY A NARROW MARGIN

(Photo courtesy: Foxnews.com)

Real Clear Politics predicts that Donald Trump is NOW leading in all seven battleground states. This is an average of various polls. If this turns out to be correct on November 5, Donald Trump will be the next occupant of the White House. There are however other polls which show Harris leading in 4 of these seven states, what is true will only be out on November 5.

Top Battlegrounds – RCP Average

Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Nevada

RCP AVERAGE	DATE	TRUMP (R)	HARRIS (D)	SPREAD
Top Battlegrounds	10/20	48.4	47.4	Trump+1.0
Arizona	October 20th	49.0	47.4	Trump+1.6
Nevada	October 20th	47.7	46.9	Trump+0.8
Wisconsin	October 20th	48.0	47.8	Trump+0.2
Michigan	October 20th	48.8	47.6	Trump+1.2
Pennsylvania	October 20th	47.9	47.1	Trump+0.8
North Carolina	October 20th	48.4	47.9	Trump+0.5
Georgia	October 20th	48.8	47.0	Trump+1.8